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Nathaniel Elijah R Brown

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What is global monetary policy divergence and why does it create forex opportunities?

Monetary policy divergence occurs when central banks move in different directions—one tightening, another easing. For example, if the Fed hikes rates while the ECB cuts, USD strengthens against EUR. Divergence creates sustained trends, as yield spreads attract flows. Institutions build relative-value trades on policy divergence, often expressed in G10 pairs. Retail traders can monitor central bank statements, inflation data, and forward rate markets to anticipate divergence plays. Benefits: clear directional trades aligned with fundamentals. Risks: sudden policy shifts or geopolitical shocks that reverse trends. Divergence remains one of the most reliable macro drivers in forex, making central bank analysis essential.

2个月前
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